Dr. Raphael Lataster is a university lecturer in religious studies and a strong advocate of Bayesian reasoning. His work’s central theme is the inauthenticity of much of the subject matter of the Judeo-Christian scriptures, including the historicity of Jesus of Nazareth. He identifies Bayes’ Theorem as the most useful method of deciding which of several explanations, within any topic, is most probably true (See Section 3 and the video at the 45th  minute).
Lataster’s Use of Bayesian Reasoning
Illustrating the employment of Bayes’ Theorem in determining the authenticity of an historical claim in a “Case Study: The Death of Herod Agrippa”, Section

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